Back to the main topic, and after tonight's results it's going to come down to the wire. It's likely 2nd place in group C and D will both end up with more than 9 points, but that's it. That means there's 2 more spots up for grabs and 6 teams going for it all on 6 points currently. The goal difference for each team looks like: +3: Stirling, QotS, Us +2: Peterhead 0: Killie Unknown: Accies.
Accies play tomorrow against Edinburgh city and are currently at 3 pts after 2 games and +2GD so I expect them to be +4 at least after tomorrow and to be in pole position for 1 of the two spots left.
Now all this makes it look quite tight, but looking closer at the groups, it might not be. All of what I write below will be assuming we beat Stranraer.
Group A: East Fife top the group with 8 pts but have played all 4 games so sit out the last round. Peterhead are playing Dumbarton and will likely win, pushing East Fife to 2nd, but either way any result will end up with 2nd place being below 9 pts. Therefor a win against Stranraer would guarantee us ahead of group A's 2nd place
Group B: Stirling's final game is against 1st place St.Johnstone who are on 7 pts. Therefor the same scenario as group A appears, any result in that game will leave the groups 2nd place below 9 pts and below us in the 2nd place rankings.
Group C: Inverness and Dundee Utd. both sit on 7 pts and both are favorites to win their final matches, meaning the 2nd place here is probably out of our reach. Most likely upset would be a Dunfermline win or draw over Utd where Dunfermline win on pens. This game is getting played on the day after everyone elses so they'll both be going into it knowing what result they need.
Group D: Alloa and Raith first and second on 9 and 8 pts respectively and playing each other in the final game. An Alloa win would leave Raith 2nd on 8 pts and would be best for us, or a draw with Alloa winning the shootout as Raith's goal difference is only +2.
Group E: QotS 2nd on 6 pts and playing bottom placed Stenhousemuir. Probable multiple goal victory so we'll be hoping to at least match what they do.
Group G: Assuming Accies beat Edinburgh City tomorrow they'll have their last game vs Livi and will probably be a couple of goals ahead of us in GD already. However, top of the group Ayr Utd have 9 pts and a +3 gd and have played all their matches. Therefore, 2 wins for Accies will have Ayr 2nd and any win over Stranraer has us ahead of them. Accies slipping up in either game will mean they finish below 9 pts and in 2nd.
Group H: Killie's on 6 pts and play their last game against Albion Rovers, but they currently only have a GD of 0, they'd need to beat Albion by 3 more goals than we beat Stranraer by to overtake us which is unlikely. Also 1st placed Morton are on 8 pts only so a loss or a penalty shootout loss against Berwick will see us beat this group's 2nd place.
All in all that's groups A, B, and G that we automatically beat with any sort of win, and as long as Killie don't beat Albion Rovers by 3 more goals than we beat Stranraer we'll be through, and that's if every other result goes against us.