weeyin

John Philiben, square posts, robbed. Although Gahagan should have got us the winner in extra time.

Yabbas Turd posted it here.

Compared to be being really good at estimating probability and risk (obviously). On the other hand, humans are really good at pattern recognition. In general, that has been an evolutionary advantage, but it's also one of the factors that leads to poor estimation of probabilities - they think patterns and clusters in independent events mean certain things are more likely to happen (as in Mitch's roulette example).

Given the youth and pace of our new look line-up, will be interesting to see how they fare against a Premiership team. And maybe take it turns kicking Kenny Miller.

I'm only pointing out (in a roundabout way) that 12 sequential home ties is well within the statistical norm for such a minuscule sample size. Humans are just really bad about estimating probability and risk.

Best. Chance. Ever. © Every season since the 90s.

I have literally no idea how good Rangers are right now. How we perform depends on how fit Moult is and how we line up in defence. Would not be surprised by a hard fought draw.

I have no doubt the authorities favour the OF in many ways. I'd be surprised if all of the non-OF people that have been directly involved in the draws are covering a conspiracy.

However, the odds of H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H are exactly the same as the odds for H,A,H,H,A,A,A,H,H,A,H,A.

When kids are learning about probability, there's a classic experiment teachers often use. They split the class into 2 groups. First group tosses a coin 500 times and records the results. Second group writes down the results of what they think the results of tossing a coin 500 times would look like. Teacher is presented with both sets of results and has to identify which ones are from the actual coin toss. Teacher is always correct, because the actual coin toss generates sequences of events (such as 12 consecutive heads) that the "guessing" group never predicts. The group without the coin thinks that their results should be about 50/50 and consecutive heads or tails should never be in a sequence of more than 3 or 4. While a fair coin toss will eventually converge to 50% heads and 50% tails, that happens only when you approach an infinite number of coin tosses.

It's not even that now. However, if we start the season with Moult and Tanner up front while we are looking for one more signing up top, it won't be a disaster. The fact that we do start the season with so many weeks before the window closes is another reason I hate the window.

Phew. Glad we avoided that perilous home time to Dunfermline. Away to a Premiership team is obviously much better.

He had a few shots, but didn't make it. Then he refused to go out on loan. And he failed to impress in multiple appearances in the first team. I wanted him to succeed, but sometimes it doesn't work out. That's true at many levels. Just look at Torres for Chelsea, for example. The next best case is we get a nice cut from a sell-on clause. Onwards and upwards.

It was. The rest of his performance was typical early season - offside and kicking the defenders because he's a yard off the pace. Still think he'll be a good signing for them, though.

Dundee looked much better 2nd half. Unfortunate Utd won the shoot out for the seeding. Dundee would be a tougher game.

Nothing funnier than fans that give players dogs abuse starting to greet when the same players rub it in their face after scoring. Walker was great for us. I don't care what he did after that.

Hearts were absolute mince yesterday and still drew with Dunfermline. Morton were one of the on-form teams last season (and made the play-offs) and we scraped a home win against them - as favourites. Any Championship team at home is an ideal draw.

Still remember that goal against Brechin.

Dunfermline at home would be ideal.

Andy Walker was a great youngster when he played for us. I don't pay any attention to his media work.

Moult and Tanner I'd imagine.

Maybe by the time he ended up at Fir Park he was past his best, but he was decent enough. At Hibs and Rangers, he was excellent.

Same here. And he had a once in a lifetime level of talent. As always, time will tell.

I thought that when I saw his youtube highlights. Shorter keepers always worry me - although big defenders can protect them to some extent.